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Charles Tien

Department Chair

Office: 1724A HW
Phone: 212-772-5494
Email:ctien@hunter.cuny.edu

Office Hours

Areas of Specialization:

  • American Politics
  • Congress
  • Quantitative Research Methods

Courses:

  • PolSc 110: American Government: A Historical Introduction
  • PolSc 206: Research Design in Political Science
  • PolSc 217.04: Race, Gender and Representation
  • PolSc 235: The American Congress

Education:
Ph.D., University of Iowa, 1997
B.A., University of Michigan, 1988

Recent Publications:

  •  “Proxy Forecasts: A Working Strategy.” PS: Political Science and Politics 46: 39-40. (2013) with Michael S. Lewis- Beck.
  • “Election Forecasting for Turbulent Times." 2012 PS: Political Science and Politics 45: 625-629. (2012) with Michael S. Lewis- Beck.
  • “Obama and 2012: Still a Racial Cost to Pay.” PS: Political Science and Politics 45: 591-595 with Richard Nadeau and Michael S. Lewis- Beck.
  • “Japanese Election Forecasting: Classic Tests of a Hard Case." 2012 International Journal of Forecasting 28:797-803 with Michael S. Lewis- Beck.
  • “Racial Voting in 2012?” In Model Politics. May 2, 2012. http://today.yougov.com/news/categories/model-politics/ (May 2, 2012) with Richard Nadeau and Michael S. Lewis- Beck
  • “Nowcasting” the 2012 US Presidential Elections. In the Monkey Cage.  http://themonkeycage.org. (December 15, 2011 and updates on January 6, 2012, Febuary 3, 2013, March 1, 2012,  July 12, 2012, August 10, 2012, September 18, 2012). With Michael S. Lewis- Beck
  • "The Influence of African American Members on Congress: A Content Analysis of Civil Rights Debates," Du Bois Review: Social Science Research on Race 5(1): 115-35 (2008) with Dena Levy.
  • "The Job of President and the Jobs Model Forecast: Obama for '08?," in PS: Political Science and Politics 41: 687-90 (2008) with Michael S. Lewis-Beck.
  • "Forecasting Presidential Elections: When to Change the Model?," in International Journal of Forecasting 24 (2): 227-36 (2008) with Michael S. Lewis-Beck.
  • “The China Threat, National Missile Defense and American Public Opinion.”Defense Analysis 19:35-54 (2003) with James Nathan.
  • “Presidential Election Forecasting: The Bush-Gore Draw. ” Research in Political SociologySociological Views on Political Participation in the 21st Century 10: 173-187 (2002) with Michael S. Lewis-Beck.
  • “Representation, Voluntary Retirement, and Shirking in the Last Term.” Public Choice 106:117-130 (2001).
  • “Do Differences Matter? The Impact of Women in Congress.” Women and Politics 23:105-127 (2001) with Dena Levy and Rachelle Aved.