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Charles Tien

Charles Tien is Professor of Political Science at Hunter College and the Graduate Center, CUNY. He has served as department chair, was selected to be a Fulbright Scholar in American Politics at Renmin University in Beijing, China, and worked as a congressional staffer on Capitol Hill. He has taught undergraduate and graduate courses on American politics, women and minorities in politics, voting and elections, American foreign policy, research methods, and polling. He has published over 30 scholarly articles, most recently in Presidential Studies Quarterly, and International Journal of Forecasting.

Office: 1719 HW
Phone: 212-772-5494

Areas of Specialization:

  • American Politics
  • Congress
  • Race and Ethnicity
  • Quantitative Research Methods


Ph.D., University of Iowa
B.A., University of Michigan

Selected Publications:

  • “The 2016 Models: Plea for Theory and Lead.” PS: Political Science and Politics 50: 333-334. (2017) with Michael S. Lewis-Beck.
  • Michael S. Lewis-Beck and Charles Tien. 2016. “Election Forecasting: The Long View.” Oxford Handbooks Online. (2016) with Michael S. Lewis-Beck. March 15, 2016. DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199935307.013.92
  • “Proxy Models and Nowcasting: US Presidential Elections in the Future.” Presidential Studies Quarterly 44: 506-521. (2014) with Michael S. Lewis-Beck. 
  •  “Proxy Forecasts: A Working Strategy.” PS: Political Science and Politics 46: 39-40. (2013) with Michael S. Lewis- Beck.
  • “Election Forecasting for Turbulent Times." 2012 PS: Political Science and Politics 45: 625-629. (2012) with Michael S. Lewis- Beck.
  • “Obama and 2012: Still a Racial Cost to Pay.” PS: Political Science and Politics 45: 591-595 with Richard Nadeau and Michael S. Lewis- Beck.
  • “Japanese Election Forecasting: Classic Tests of a Hard Case." 2012 International Journal of Forecasting 28:797-803 with Michael S. Lewis- Beck.
  • “Racial Voting in 2012?” In Model Politics. May 2, 2012. (May 2, 2012) with Richard Nadeau and Michael S. Lewis- Beck
  • “Nowcasting” the 2012 US Presidential Elections. In the Monkey Cage. (December 15, 2011 and updates on January 6, 2012, Febuary 3, 2013, March 1, 2012,  July 12, 2012, August 10, 2012, September 18, 2012). With Michael S. Lewis- Beck
  • "The Influence of African American Members on Congress: A Content Analysis of Civil Rights Debates," Du Bois Review: Social Science Research on Race 5(1): 115-35 (2008) with Dena Levy.
  • "The Job of President and the Jobs Model Forecast: Obama for '08?," in PS: Political Science and Politics 41: 687-90 (2008) with Michael S. Lewis-Beck.
  • "Forecasting Presidential Elections: When to Change the Model?," in International Journal of Forecasting 24 (2): 227-36 (2008) with Michael S. Lewis-Beck.
  • “The China Threat, National Missile Defense and American Public Opinion.”Defense Analysis 19:35-54 (2003) with James Nathan.
  • “Presidential Election Forecasting: The Bush-Gore Draw. ” Research in Political SociologySociological Views on Political Participation in the 21st Century 10: 173-187 (2002) with Michael S. Lewis-Beck.
  • “Representation, Voluntary Retirement, and Shirking in the Last Term.” Public Choice 106:117-130 (2001).
  • “Do Differences Matter? The Impact of Women in Congress.” Women and Politics 23:105-127 (2001) with Dena Levy and Rachelle Aved.